Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-10-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
3Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
4Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
6Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
13Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
14Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA0.92165%27%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
24John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
25Ilya Sorokin NYINYI0.71067%0%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.62120%35%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
30Jake Oettinger DALDAL0.51050%50%
31Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.51045%0%