Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-04-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
2Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
3Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
6Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
8Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
10Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
20Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
25John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%