Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
18Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
19Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
24Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
25John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%