Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.64064%0%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
10Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
18Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
24John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%