Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
12Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.34229%35%
20Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
26Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
27Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%