Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.74067%0%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44236%35%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
22Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
26John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
27Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Scott Wedgewood COLCOL0.62164%0%