Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
3Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
4Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
5Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
7Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
12Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
15Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.34264%0%
16Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
18Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24029%35%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
24John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
25Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%