Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
7Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
10Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
12Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.42140%100%
15Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
16Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
17John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
18Jet Greaves CBJCBJ12167%35%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
21Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS0.71070%31%
22Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
23Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR0.52154%0%
25Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.51047%100%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.52145%0%
27Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.51047%35%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.51046%0%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL0.41041%0%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.31035%20%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.31032%35%