Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-23 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.24054%0%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
13Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
15Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
18Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA14250%0%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
27Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
30Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%