Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
11Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
16Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
17Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
25John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
26Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%