Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-02 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
13Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
14Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.42145%100%
17Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
26Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%