Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-26 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
4Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
6Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
9Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
15Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
19Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA13150%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
28John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%