Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.63165%27%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
8Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
16Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
21Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL0.92156%35%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
23Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
24Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
27John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62129%35%
31Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.31035%20%