Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-12 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.84045%100%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
20Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
21Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
22Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24029%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%