Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-05 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.84070%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.64064%0%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
5Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
13Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44036%35%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
16Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
17Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.24031%100%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
23John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
24Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
25Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
28Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
29Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%