Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-28 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.94245%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
7Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
8Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
11Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
13Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.33147%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
26John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%