Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-21 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
8Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.94047%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.84045%100%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
19Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
23Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD14120%35%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
25Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%