Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
7Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
12Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
16Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
21Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
22John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
23Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
28Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%