Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-07 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
6Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.84255%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
10Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
14Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
18Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
19Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
25John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
27Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
28Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%