Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-31 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
11Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
17Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
20Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13136%35%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
23John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
24Jet Greaves CBJCBJ12167%35%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
31Scott Wedgewood COLCOL0.62164%0%