Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jake Oettinger DALDAL24150%50%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
5Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.94131%100%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
8Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA1.53050%35%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
17Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
18Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
20Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.33167%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL1.24141%0%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
25John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
27Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
28Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.74236%0%
30Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.64229%0%