Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.44167%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
5Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
7Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA24050%0%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.43045%0%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44236%35%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF13035%20%
26Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
30Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%