Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2027-02-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.44145%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.24140%100%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
6Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.94150%35%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.84256%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
15Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
17Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
19Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
22John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
23Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.94245%0%
25Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
26Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%