Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2027-01-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
2Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
3Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
5Joey Daccord SEASEA2.45150%35%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
8Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.15144%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL25040%100%
11Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA25150%0%
13Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
14Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.74042%35%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
19Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
20Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
21Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34132%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
25Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.25129%0%
26Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.25120%35%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
29Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
30John Gibson DETDET14135%0%
31Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
32Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.94245%0%