Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-12-28 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS5.28345%100%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL4.57064%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
10Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.46270%31%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.38344%35%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
13Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA3.17350%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
18Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
21Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
22Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
24Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.17235%20%
26John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%