Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-12-07 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.88270%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL48256%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
15Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
21Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
22Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.37246%0%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.87235%0%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%