Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-11-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
8Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
10Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
15Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
18Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.76267%0%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
21Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85036%35%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
31John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%