Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-11-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
8Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
11Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.65164%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
23Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
25Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
29John Gibson DETDET1.85035%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.25129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%