Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-11-02 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.78245%100%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
9Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA38250%0%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
18Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
21Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.35045%0%
23Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
25John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
27Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%