Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-10-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
10Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
16Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.65156%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
20Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
24John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
26Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA25150%0%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%