Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-10-12 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
7Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
15Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.57250%0%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.58229%35%
20Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
24Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%