Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2026-03-23 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.48370%31%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL4.48240%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
13Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA38250%0%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Joel Hofer STLSTL2.97041%0%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.88236%35%
18Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
20Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.58136%0%
23Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.55050%35%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31John Gibson DETDET1.87235%0%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%