Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-29 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.88247%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
10Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.57050%35%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA3.27250%35%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.28131%100%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
20Jake Oettinger DALDAL36250%50%
21Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
23Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.65156%35%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%