Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-22 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.25065%27%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.96255%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA2.66350%35%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55150%50%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
20Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.25045%100%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
24Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA24050%35%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.56220%35%
32John Gibson DETDET1.46235%0%