Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-15 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.16265%27%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.76267%0%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
16Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.55155%35%
17Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.45150%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
21Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.25045%100%
22Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.25131%100%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.86246%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31John Gibson DETDET1.47335%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%