Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-08 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL4.48240%100%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
5Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.98150%35%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA3.57050%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
19Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.58229%35%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
23Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.57250%0%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27032%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
29John Gibson DETDET1.88335%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%