Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-12-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL58340%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.57065%27%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.98150%35%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.27045%100%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
20Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.57250%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
27John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
32Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%