Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL4.67340%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL48250%50%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.78250%35%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.37047%35%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
13Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
14Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
18Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.96255%35%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
25John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
27Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
29Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%