Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.37245%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.78250%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
11Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.37047%100%
12Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.66264%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
25John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
27Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.15144%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
29Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.86246%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.95229%0%