Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-11-10 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.97070%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.37245%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI48267%0%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
7Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
10Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
21Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
27Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.84044%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.94129%0%