Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.57050%35%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.76250%35%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
18Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.66264%0%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
25John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
26Jakub Dobes MTLMTL25040%100%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%
29Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.86245%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%