Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.78245%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.28145%100%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.77367%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
10Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
15Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.25131%100%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
26Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
31Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.86245%0%
32John Gibson DETDET1.87235%0%