Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN48255%35%
5Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.98150%35%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.37356%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
20Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
21Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
22Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.58329%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
29John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%