Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-10-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.86245%100%
4Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.57050%35%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.25065%27%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
11Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.85145%100%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
19Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
21Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
23Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL2.15041%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.96229%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
30Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85036%35%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%