Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-09-29 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.73170%31%
5Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
6Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
10Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
11Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
17Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA12050%35%
18Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
21Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
22Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
23Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
24Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
28John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%