Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-04-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.52147%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
4Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.32131%100%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
6Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
9Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.93146%0%
10Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
12Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.92045%0%
13Lukas Dostal ANAANA0.92165%27%
14Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
16Jakub Dobes MTLMTL0.82040%100%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI0.82150%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
19Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA0.82150%35%
20Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
21John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
23Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS0.71070%31%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
25Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.62120%35%
26Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA0.52150%0%
27Joey Daccord SEASEA0.51050%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL0.41041%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.31029%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.31032%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.31029%0%