Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-31 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.28145%100%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.98264%0%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.97056%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
12Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.27045%100%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
18Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97042%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.57250%0%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
26Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%