Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.87055%35%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
10Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.47150%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.28254%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
15Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.26231%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.88246%0%
20Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.85145%100%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.58235%20%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
27Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA25150%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%