Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-10 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.96247%100%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
7Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.57050%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
15Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
21Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.57250%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
23Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
25Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.25045%100%
26John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%