Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-03-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.48265%27%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
11Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
12Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
15Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
20Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
21Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
25Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
28John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
31Joel Hofer STLSTL1.66241%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%